Dark matter skews the gun control equation

gunAmerica extended its towering global leadership in mass murder over the weekend. A man gunned down his wife and four daughters in Roswell, New Mexico, raising this year’s toll of mass-shooting incidents to 133.

You may not have heard about that one. It was just a single family murdered in their home. Their father didn’t take time to pledge allegiance to a terrorist group, pose in front of a Confederate flag, or raid a Planned Parenthood prior to killing them. At the pace we’re running, we can’t be bothered to care about a mass gun killing unless the perpetrator goes to some effort to build a unique narrative. The death of that family in Roswell was ordinary. It was routine.

Mass killings in the US have spiked in recent years despite a decades-long decline in overall violence. What has remained constant across decades is America’s striking level of gun carnage in comparison to the rest of the world. Homicides may be declining, but we are no closer to the kind of public safety every other respectable country’s citizens take for granted.

No other functioning nation on the planet allows unregulated, unlicensed, untracked ownership of firearms. By magical coincidence, no other civilized nation experiences near-weekly mass shootings. As a “we’re #1” special bonus, no other country racks up dozens of annual deaths at the hands of gun-toting toddlers. We have a gun problem.

So, why don’t Americans care enough about each other, about their kids, or about themselves to pass even the most modest restraints on gun ownership? To understand why we retain this toxic relationship to guns it makes sense to walk through the apparent logic of our gun culture. When that logical thread trails off into futility, as it always does, the real answers start to emerge from the shadows, beyond the reach of reasoned debate. We will not get a handle on our unique relationship to violence without confronting one of our darkest national pathologies.

We could start our exploration with this proposition – America has a globally unique cultural relationship to gun ownership. Though no other civilized nation allows mass ownership of such a wide range of killing tools as the US, any sensible gun regulation scheme should still respect that heritage and continue to allow mass gun ownership.

How do you retain widespread ownership of guns while curtailing the senseless mayhem that accompanies it? We have accomplished this with any number of other potentially lethal products in mass circulation. Establish a sensible regulatory scheme that tracked the sale and ownership of the product, require owners to maintain financial responsibility for safe use, establish a licensing regime to ensure safety, and hold irresponsible owners liable for their negligence. Do these things and, in time, gun deaths would decline steeply, just like automobile, cigarette and tobacco deaths.

Take that premise, or practically any idea for gun regulation, and present it to a seemingly sensible American gun enthusiast. Watch how quickly a reasoned exchange of ideas can descend into madness.

Such a discussion might start with your gun enthusiast downplaying the US death toll from firearms. It’s an odd rhetorical line that’s difficult to restate clearly because it decomposes so quickly into incoherence. There is simply no comparison to be made. No other country not at war or consumed by internal crime experiences gun deaths at anything approaching our rates.

Commonly paired with the “it’s not that bad” response is the baffling canard that mass gun ownership actually makes us safer. Sometimes this argument includes cherry-picked examples of mass shootings in “gun free” zones. It even extends to the idea that we need more weapons to ensure reasonable safety.

Perhaps the world’s largest “gun-free zone” is Japan. Despite the shocking incapacity of Japanese individuals to defend themselves, they remain somehow immune to mass slaughter, suffering a mere handful of gun murders a year. The same general pattern holds for every country in Western Europe. The French, Germans, and British endure a few dozen gun homicides annually.

If mass gun ownership was a credible antidote to gun violence, shouldn’t the organizers of the Republican National Convention press to allow guns on the convention floor? How can they leave their members defenseless while passing laws that let college students carry guns in their dorms? Don’t Republican delegates deserve the warm security of their fully-loaded AR-15s?

Continuing down this line you might next hear that gun regulation doesn’t work. Your ammosexual friend might point out that Chicago and DC have fairly stringent gun laws, yet experience high levels of gun violence. Paired with this seemingly promising argument might be the suggestion that we start by “enforcing the laws we already have.”

This rhetorical feint is interesting for what it exposes about our weak gun regulations. One could start by consulting Google Maps, where we learn that a Chicago resident need only walk across a street to Indiana where they can purchase firearms under a nearly unrestricted scheme.

Indiana does not require firearms to be registered or owners to be licensed. Gun purchases there by private sellers do not require any background check. Unfortunately for Chicago, there are no visa requirements for visiting Indiana and no customs screen on returning. Most guns used in Chicago crimes come from Indiana and Mississippi.

As for “enforcing current laws,” our federal firearms laws were written to be unenforceable. Predictably enough, they are in practical fact unenforceable.

We have no central tracking of gun owners. Law enforcement access to our thin records on gun ownership and registration is riddled with constraints and loopholes created by a thicket of obstructions in state and federal laws. These laws are engineered to cripple gun regulation making it nearly impossible, for example, to track and prosecute “straw sellers,” people who earn money making legal purchases that are then handed over to criminals. The same people claiming we should “enforce current laws” have lobbied very hard to prevent reforms that would make enforcement achievable in the real world. The “enforce existing laws” argument is a cynical evasion.

Some gun fans might insist that gun laws simply cannot work. When something is restricted people want it more. Despite that logic, it turns out that a sensible regulation scheme can be pretty effective. How many people are arrested each year for illegally selling beer? It’s a regulated substance in high demand, yet we seem to be able to stay on top of it.

Maybe, one might argue, there’s something special about weapons that makes them impossible to regulate. By that logic, regulating guns means only criminals will be able to obtain them. How many Americans are killed every year in hand grenade violence? How many are killed at the hands of bazooka-wielding maniacs? It seems that we can succeed in regulating weapons when we try.

Continue through the discussion and you’re likely to hear nearest thing to a logical, legal argument you’ll encounter in the whole exchange: Our Constitution, which is utterly sacred and handed to our Founders by Jesus, guarantees my right to own a gun with no restrictions of any kind. Any suggestion of the most minimal safety regulations around firearms will run into this passionate defense of America’s Constitutional protections. Anyone who wants to regulate gun ownership is, by extension, attempting to demolish our Constitutional freedoms.

Gun enthusiasts are in fact no more attached to the Constitution than anyone else on the left or right. Ask a simple follow up question and watch this passion for Constitutional liberty evaporate into ether:

How do you feel about Texas’ law, passed in 2013, that imposes constraints on a woman’s right to an abortion, constraints so severe that many women have effectively lost that right? How do you feel about similar laws all over the country that sought to regulate that Constitutional right out of existence?

This is where the strange overlap between gun fanatics and right wing politics exposes a logical fault line. Your gun advocate might explain that abortion isn’t mentioned in the Constitution. You might hear that abortion is a brand new right, created out of judicial imagination only forty years ago. That’s an interesting line, because the same thing is true of my personal, Constitutional right to own a gun.

Until the Supreme Court’s Heller decision in 2008, no court had found a personal, Constitutional right to own a firearm. Only the McDonald decision in 2010 extended that right, created in Heller, beyond the District of Columbia. For more than 200 years, courts read the 2nd Amendment to mean what it said, and took Alexander Hamilton at his word as he explained in the 29th Federalist Paper. Even in light of Heller and McDonald, nothing in the Constitution or related jurisprudence suggests that basic regulation would infringe on 2nd Amendment guarantees.

Until Heller, our right to own weapons was collective, subject to regulation, and tied to “a well-regulated militia,” as the Bill of Rights clearly states. A sacred, personal, Constitutional right to own a weapon never existed until a court found it existed, just like a woman’s sacred Constitutional right to an abortion. If God, via the Constitution and the black-robed oracles that interpret it, wants me to own a weapon, then he also wants to make sure I can have an abortion. Chances are the passion for Constitutional liberty expressed by your gun enthusiast will, by some strange alchemy, fail to extend to the rest of our sacred Constitutional rights.

If gun fans were genuinely animated by some esoteric attachment to Constitutional liberty, they would be just as interested in the Constitutional liberty of first graders to not get slaughtered in their classrooms by a well-armed psychopath. They aren’t. The Constitution is yet another distraction in this debate.

Keep pressing your gun proponent and the conversation will likely take a turn into dark, troubling territory. This is the point in the death of an argument at which you’re likely to hear about “2nd Amendment remedies.” Guns are the guarantors of our liberty.

By this logic, any effort to constrain gun ownership represents a step toward oppression. In a singularly important tell, your gun enthusiast might even start using the language of slavery.

If the purpose of the 2nd Amendment is preserve my right to rebel against the government, why can’t I have landmines or tanks? How can I possibly expect to defend my family from Obama’s oppression if I have no hand grenades with which to clear a room? The 2nd Amendment, originally designed to ensure our capacity to maintain an armed, capable, “well-regulated” militia, is not a Constitutional ejection lever. This is the point where any lingering hope of reasoned dissolves into paranoia.

Suggest something as obviously sensible as a license requirement, and after you’ve hacked through the rhetorical weeds the conversation will eventually leap to “cold dead hands,” where it meets its bizarre, intellectually stunted end. Intellectually honest discussion of gun regulation in the US is virtually impossible.

Why?

Someone raised outside the United States will find this baffling. In many cases, someone raised outside the American South will struggle to follow this logic. Nothing in the regularly deployed arguments on gun rights explains a passion for unrestrained gun ownership worth the annual loss of thirty thousand lives, or the depth of fear inspired by the most modest suggestion of accountability. What leads an otherwise sane, competent, educated adult to the conclusion that their unrestricted access to guns is all that protects them from slavery?

Even the greatest cultures retain a few pathologies; strange wrinkles in the fabric of their development, formed around some pain, some defeat, some overlooked, forgotten, or concealed crime. No one raised outside of Britain, or perhaps just England, can quite grasp the role of class in the shape of life there. As an outsider you might detect its influence around the margins of your interactions. You might even trip over its hidden lines. It would be difficult though to ever fully account for its influence.

The US is no exception. Any effort to pursue otherwise sensible gun regulation becomes tangled in strange distortions. There is dark matter in the equation, some force or interest unaccounted for in the math that leads gun enthusiasts to their oddly insistent yet nonsensical positions.

Find an issue on which a large number of otherwise sober Americans hold bizarre or irrational beliefs, and you can usually trace those delusions back to our most vexing national pathology – race.

Being raised in deep East Texas granted your author many legacies, including a rich collection of racist friends. During the protests in Baltimore over the killing of Freddie Gray, one of those friends shed a depressingly candid light on his and others’ passionate interest in firearms.

racist fb1

And there you have it, pretty much the only honest argument for mass unregulated gun ownership you’re going to find. I must arm myself to remain safe from marauding Negroes.

Gun advocates remain convinced beyond reason that there is an obscure “other” among us, determined to destroy all that we cherish. At different times and among different people you’ll hear this other described in the form of illegal aliens, marauding urban blacks, or apocalyptic spiritual forces.

Only by relentless vigilance can that other be held at bay. Weak-kneed liberals enable and cultivate this other. Their high-minded rhetoric obscures the presence of this threat, making us all more vulnerable. Any and every effort to curb my access to weapons is a veiled attempt to leave me vulnerable to this other.

Attempts to discuss otherwise sensible gun regulations are skewed beyond all reason by the dark matter of our defining national pathology. Ironically, the Trump trainwreck may promise some relief.

Trump has built an entire Presidential campaign on our otherwise undiscussed racism. By dragging our singular modern pathology into the full glare of the political spotlight, we are being forced to develop the insights, language, and tactics to finally address it. On the other side of this mess, we might find a new capacity to cope with a whole range of issues rendered off limits by our great collective glitch. Once we learn to factor the hidden variables into the debate we might solve the gun control equation.

Tagged with: , , , , ,
Posted in Gun Rights, Uncategorized

House of Cards or Veep?

It’s summer. Despite efforts by the news media to keep us engaged, nothing much is happening in politics. All the better, really. So let’s have some fun.

Which show, House of Cards or Veep, better captures the reality of American politics?

A comedy of the absurd filled with half-wits and sociopaths who fumble their way through a broken, unmanageable system. Or a dark thriller in which sinister geniuses scheme their way toward the heights of power.

Or should we just cruise past both shows and study Idiocracy?

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Will Republicans really nominate Trump?

Would you rather be run over by a truck or dropped off a cliff? That’s more or less the dilemma facing Republicans at the convention next month.

Republicans do not have to accept Trump as the nominee. Changing the convention rules, organizing a walkout, or other strategies would doom Trump’s nomination. There is no enthusiasm for Donald Trump among Republican insiders or even among his assigned delegates. All that’s needed to stop the nomination would be a leadership figure supporting and organizing the effort.

The problem isn’t whether Republicans could stop Trump. The problem is how you cope with the long-term damage wrought by that choice. Damned if you do…

Stopping Trump would require serious Republican political figures to endorse moves that would compromise the legitimacy of the primary process, perhaps beyond repair. Exorcising Trump could only be accomplished by a fantastically undemocratic intervention by a fantastically unpopular group of political figures, which would frustrate the will of an angry, semi-literate mob. Sounds great, right?

On the other hand, placing Donald Trump at the top of the party’s ticket will split the GOP and finish off its already tenuous national relevance. Polls already suggest that Utah might be competitive in a Presidential race for the first time ever. The same dynamic impacting Utah, with conservative Republicans shearing off to support Libertarians, could put other red states including Texas in play. Nominating a different candidate in 2020 will not eliminate that legacy.

Since the party failed to repudiate Trump when it could have mattered (and in fact it still hasn’t), the only means left to stop him would be explosive. Republicans can watch the party implode in a more or less controlled demolition at their own hands, or let Trump do it. Both choices leave the GOP in rubble.

As damaging as a contested convention would be, it would probably leave the party better positioned to rebuild than if we hand the wrecking ball to Trump. However, acknowledging that situation would require a degree of sobriety, courage, pragmatism, and vision that no prominent Republicans have yet displayed.

No matter how severe the consequences, party leaders are unlikely to pass up an opportunity to do nothing. There is probably only one major Republican figure willing to blow up the convention to stop Donald Trump – Ted Cruz. He has been eerily silent. Unless Cruz has a card he’s planning to play, chances are the party will take the coward’s way out, letting Trump place his smarmy brand over Lincoln’s banner.

Posted in Uncategorized

Link Roundup, June 7, 2016

From the Salt Lake City Tribune: Polls don’t mean much this early, but sometimes they can reveal a trend. Look at the impact of a solid Libertarian ticket on Trump in Utah.

From Motherboard: As an old person I find this really weird, but people are starting to treat video games as a spectator sport.

From The Hill: Paul Ryan uses the forbidden “r-word” against a Republican for the first time ever. Of course, by GOP logic this makes Ryan a racist.

From Mic: An explanation of the symbols Trump’s Neo-Nazi supporters are using to quietly intimidate Jews online.

Posted in Uncategorized

Beyond the edge of known politics

Screen Shot 2016-06-03 at 10.15.51 AMAncient maps often marked their blurry fringes with a warning, “Here be monsters.” Sometimes the warnings were illustrated with charming images of the menace that lurks beyond the reach of the known world. Never did those monsters sport an orange comb over. Time for an update.

We are starting to perceive the outline of the unknown lands into which Donald Trump is leading us. For months he called for and got violence against opponents at his rallies. He routinely dehumanizes not just his opponents, but also anyone who dares to question him. He has harbored racists and even Neo-Nazis. He has unleashed actual harassment and threats of violence on those who dig into his background.

Despite all this, Republican voters have made him their Presidential nominee. We have swallowed this pill. Trump has zero shot at the White House, but it doesn’t matter. Whatever political legitimacy the Republican Party currently retains has been placed in the service a man willing to use any means for his own political ends. What happened last night in California is just a hint of what’s coming.

Here be monsters.

The idiots who have lent their political capital to Donald Trump got what they asked for in San Jose. After threatening and occasionally meting out violence toward a few isolated, poorly protected people, they are getting a taste of what comes next.

For those who want to blame this nonsense on “Bernie supporters” or “paid left-wing protestors,” a comparison might be helpful. There isn’t a single political issue on which Ted Cruz took a moderate, considered, reasonable stance. Yet no one was punched at his rallies. His political gatherings didn’t feature a regular perp-walk of protestors being harassed and intimidated while led away by thugs. Remember all the “left-wing” violence at Romney’s rallies. Neither do I.

Trump’s supporters asked for this in the most literal possible way. Now they are discovering the depths of what they’ve launched. They didn’t realize that they needed those norms, these “PC” constraints, until they had destroyed them. Ask for violence and you’ll get it, but you can’t expect to control or direct it.

Trump’s presence at the top of a national party ticket is, by itself, a destabilizing force, a challenge to basic civic norms. By making him the nominee, we have incorporated a level of semi-organized violence into our political discourse.

Some are predicting that the counter-violence by anti-Trump protestors will help Trump at the polls. Good luck with that. The people who elevated Trump are some of the most hated figures in American public life. Don’t believe me? Ask someone who has a good job whether they have ever heard someone express support for Trump at work. Go looking for any remotely or subtly pro-Trump material on LinkedIn. The bulk of the public looks at that miserable Trump supporter with egg on her face and feels a pang of schadenfraude. That’s not good for the future of the republic.

It is unclear how we are supposed to contain what Republicans have unleashed in our politics. Here be monsters.

Posted in Uncategorized

Link Roundup, June 2, 2016

From Marginal Revolution: Fertility rates in India have declined to the replacement level.

From US Census: While family sizes have declined, average new US home now tops 2400 sq.ft, up from 1500 in the 70’s.

From Vox: What a machine ‘sees’ when it watches Blade Runner.

From Atlas Obscura: Why Canadians talk funny.

From Scientific American: Microsoft is testing DNA as a storage medium.

Posted in Uncategorized

Link Roundup, May 31, 2016

From The New York Times: The left’s case against the basic income. In essence, “How would we survive without government controlling our every move?” Plus, he gets the math wrong.

From The Atlantic: Oregon’s remarkably successful welfare programs.

From The New York Review of Books: Why the very poor have gotten poorer.

From Quartz: The richest families in Florence in 1427 are still its richest families today.

From Ars Technica: Personally, I welcome our new octopus overlords.

Posted in Uncategorized

Reagan’s Speech at Pointe du Hoc

Ronald Reagan’s speech at Pointe du Hoc, Normandy, commemorating the 40th anniversary of the D-Day invasion.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

The Voter Participation Powerslide

poc

The Politics of Crazy, available at Amazon

Republican voters support extending federal background checks for gun purchasers to gun shows and creating a federal database of gun owners. That news may come as a surprise given the positions taken by major Republican candidates. That’s just the beginning.

Most Republicans say they would be less likely to support a candidate who claims that climate change is a hoax. They support the terms of Obama’ executive actions on climate change and immigration (so long as his name isn’t mentioned). Half of Republicans support an amnesty proposal for illegal immigrants. Two-thirds of Republicans under thirty support same-sex marriage.

Why do Republican candidates so enthusiastically embrace issue positions at odds with the will of Republican voters? It has become popular to blame “big money” or the infamous 1%, for the disconnect between the will of the voters and our template of available choices. It’s nice to have a scapegoat. It absolves us of ownership while keeping us comfortably glued to our couches, convinced that forces to large for us to challenge blunt our efforts.

Find me the “big money” donors who wanted Donald Trump (or Ted Cruz, for that matter) to ravage the GOP. Find me the dark cabal of secret donors who wanted Bernie Sanders to kneecap the Democratic nominee and wreak havoc at the convention. Take it from someone who has tried to influence campaigns with donor money. The big donor is a convenient myth, but the 1% is absolutely real. Our elections are decided by the 1%, but it’s not the people we generally think.

Our candidates, especially in the GOP, are utterly disconnected from the will of the voting public for one painfully simple reason – voters do not matter very much in our political system. They never have. That’s not how our system was designed.

The Politics of Crazy sought to explain our increasingly dysfunctional political climate by introducing readers to a critical concept – elections are not nearly as important as we imagine them to be. Almost all of the meaningful work of politics is done before anyone casts a ballot. Those processes are fully open and participatory, probably more so than in any other nation. But increasingly few of us choose to invest our most valuable resource – our time – in those processes.

We are experiencing crazy, dysfunctional politics because the ecosystem from which our political choices emerge is weakening from neglect. All of our major participatory institutions are weakening along a similar pace in a great global devolution of power. That neglect has been more severe on the Republican side, but the same forces are catching up to the Democrats. The power of the 1% is growing.

To further explore this concept I assembled a graphic, the Voter Participation Powerslide. This graphic lays out the number of people who have participated in certain Republican Party activities since 2000. The numbers are estimates, but fairly reliable estimates.

GOP power

Look at the number of people who have, at some point in the past 15 years, voted for a Republican for President. Then compare that figure to the number who have offered their time as a precinct or campaign volunteer. See a pattern there? See a power differential?

Take all those little numbers to the right of the picture and compare them to the number of Republican Presidential voters and you end up with an interesting ratio – just a little less than 1%. Divide the number of people who have voted in a Republican primary by the number who have either directly volunteered on a campaign or served in a precinct position and you end up with about .4%.

Look closely at who those people are and why they are investing their time and energy and you have suddenly solved the central mystery of Republican politics. Our candidates embrace policies supported by that tiny minority of Republican who participate in local politics. Their composition varies by geography, but in terms of overall numbers they are white, male, old, hyper-religious, fearful, and bigoted. What gets them off their couches and into party meetings is too much free time, a lot of fear – mostly of foreigners and racial minorities, and (particularly in the South and Midwest) organizational backing from fundamentalist churches.

There are far more of them in rural and exurban areas than in cities. There are more of them in the South and Mountain West than in the nation’s more populated (and wealthier) areas. They are warming to Donald Trump because his emphasis on white nationalism is enough to satisfy their darkest fears, even if he fails to embrace religious language as much as they would like.

These are the people who decide which issues a Republican candidate can even begin to address and how they must address them. Republicans do not get an opportunity to vote for a candidate who supports climate change, basic abortion rights, or immigration reform because no such candidate can emerge from this swamp.

What about the Democrats? This is where the lingering influence of 19th century clientelism actually has some value. Democrats experience a similar, though considerably less steep powerslide. What matters is the character and interests of the people at the far right of that graphic. Democratic participation is buoyed by the presence of interest groups, especially labor, with very tangible, pragmatic demands.

Democrats are seeing more and more concentration of crazy activists at their grassroots as labor unions and traditional community organizations weaken, but the remaining influence of those older patronage-driven forces remains a sort of firewall. That firewall has been on evidence in the 2016 primary, along with its steady deterioration. It’s not clear how long practical interests can continue to hold back the Sandernistas. It’s only a matter of time before you get a Democratic Party dominated by gluten activists, vaccine deniers, and social justice warriors.

The powerslide graphic demonstrates the answer to the question ‘why doesn’t the system represent my interests.’ In short, our political system doesn’t represent my interests because I can’t be bothered to invest the substantial and fairly expensive time required to shape it. There are some good reasons most people cannot afford that investment any more. Making our system function again may require us to revisit some of our assumptions about democracy. We need to place more limits on the power of the 1%, and that starts by recognizing which 1% is really responsible for driving our system off the rails.

Tagged with: , , ,
Posted in Politics of Crazy, Republican Party, Uncategorized

Link Roundup, 5/26/2016

From the Washington Post: File this under ‘Duh’ – Marijuana decriminalization is causing a decline in drug trafficking.

From Lucky Peach: A charming history of Pho.

From Motherboard: Uber’s China Problem.

From Gizmodo: Visualizing the scale of the Arctic heat wave.

From the AP: Measuring the cost of the government’s archaic technology.

Posted in Uncategorized
Goodreads

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 448 other subscribers