Data. My God there is so much data. It’s going to take some time to pull this apart and unfortunately time is at a premium. Here are a few observations and some of the numbers I’ll be combing over.
New Republican Governors in three deep blue states, Illinois, Massachusetts and Maryland, is a very promising development. This is where interesting policy is made. If there is going to be a truly national resurgence of the party its likely to start there.
Republican coat-tails in those blue-state Governors races were short and weak. Whatever Republican “wave” there was Tuesday, it stopped at the big blue wall. Republicans did well in some of the battlegrounds, but failed to win a single Senate race in a blue state. If the Presidential map in 2016 looks like the Senate map 2014, we’ll all be saluting President Clinton. Again. This election did not shift the national dynamic at all.
I’m very interested to see final turnout numbers, particularly in the states that were most aggressive in limiting voting. Clearly, Republicans in this era thrive on poor turnout. How poor was it and why?
Texas isn’t just Republican, it has shifted off the map to become a sort of Baptist Iran. It’s unclear whether the Obama Administration will step in to stop Gov. Abbott from developing nuclear weapons, but they should look into it.
Though Abbott was at the top of the ballot and got all the attention, whack-job Lt. Governor Dan Patrick will now be the most powerful political figure in the country’s second-largest state. The righteous need not fear. The rest of you might want to make some alternate plans.
Most interesting phenomenon of the night – the massive vote gap between winning Republican Governors in the blue states and the other Republicans in the same states who statewide races. Needs more research.
What will life be like for Mitch McConnell for the next two years? That is going to be the worst job in the world.
Finally, Republicans probably collected enough Senate seats on Tuesday to avoid falling into super-minority status in 2016, when they get their turn behind the 8-ball. They’ll be defending 22 seats in 2016, and at least 18 of them are likely to be competitive. They needed this cushion.